⚠️ THREAT MATRIX

Risk assessment & vulnerability tracking

🛡️ THREAT OVERVIEW

2 CRITICAL 5 MODERATE 8 LOW
Active threat monitoring across regulatory, competitive, market, and operational domains.

🔴 CRITICAL THREATS

Section 59 Permit Acquisition Risk

Permit holder may sell to competitor before outreach completed

CRITICAL
Impact
SEVERE
Probability
MEDIUM
Mitigation
Week 1 Activation
Action: Immediate CIWM membership, lawyer retainer, proof of funds preparation

PRN Market Collapse

PRN volatility (£390→£176) threatening traditional compliance market

CRITICAL
Impact
OPPORTUNITY
Probability
HIGH
Position
dPRN £450 STABLE
Advantage: Our sovereign pricing layer is immune to market volatility

🟠 MODERATE THREATS

Veolia Midlands Expansion

MOD

Q1 2026 EPR service launch in target territory

Regulatory Changes

MOD

DEFRA EPR expansion may change compliance requirements

DRS Competition

MOD

October 2027 launch may shift material flows

Supply Chain Disruption

MOD

Processing equipment lead times extended 12+ weeks

Key Partner Loss

MOD

Greenview exclusive window expires Q2 2026

🟡 LOW THREATS

Tech Stack Risk
Currency Fluctuation
Insurance Gaps
Cybersecurity
Staff Turnover
IP Theft Risk
Brand Reputation
Economic Downturn

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